Monday, December 3, 2012

FOLLOW THE TREND: SCALP THE CT 12/3/12

BOT TRADING SYSTEM

The BOT ranges were set, PA was struggling at the LB.  A FBO developed at the open and B3 closed below the EMA which remained in side the ranges. PA ran the range and broke the SB.  By B8 we had a two leg CT (counter trend) PB to the EMA.  With the EMA FBO, B12 pushed back inside the 50CB  selling to the BO5.  Each signal became a scalping CT long back to the bear TL.

PA continued  as the selling hit the BO 10 level.



THE BREAK DOWN


There will always be a "Why" to your trading decision, and all decisions are based in price action.  So this is a breakdown of some of the PA reads to the market today.

1.  PA is having trouble crossing (BO) of the LB.  Meaning, bulls can not seem to move into a dominate position.  While there is a risk PA will BO, the action is suggesting a range run sell off and is a lower risk short.  Certainly with the B3 break of the EMA we saw more sellers entering, and a range run is part of the rules.

2.    B8 is a CT long  for a scalp trade to the 50CB as a minimum, and the EMA as another  target.  It was a 2-leg EMA PB that failed at the EMA and the SB, both shouting SELL.

3.  Another CT PB at the BO 5 that should test the 50CB.  PA did cross the EMA but stalled inside the 50CB range and a sell signal near the bear TL.  This is a lower risk short.

4.  If #3 was not your cup of tea for shorting, then #4 was an EMA FBO and B38 broke the EMA.  A lower risk short.

5.  A spike to break the TL and BO5.  When it failed, the EMA was a lower risk short continuation  play.  We also continue to see the CT PB's  which are going approximately 2 points, thus giving the 5t scalpers their +exit.

6.  The BO 10 and a CT PB signal:  a lower risk long.

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